Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:24:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3dd1…b69d
crypto · 46 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$11 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses22 / 23
Open positions1
Markets (closed)45 / 46
Avg bet$1
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes 52¢ 51¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +218%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +181%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +266%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$11
culture 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +22.1% +10.4% 49% 47% +12.4%
≤30d 45 +22.1% +10.4% 49% 47% +12.4%
≤90d 45 +22.1% +10.4% 49% 47% +12.4%
all 45 +22.1% +10.4% 49% 47% +12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.4% 47% +12.4%
10% -0.1% 47% +1.6%
15% -9.8% 47% -8.2%
20% -18.6% 47% -17.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $0.98 (match) · 74 history records