Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:27:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3dd5…7cc0
sports · 57 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$37 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses38 / 19
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
History coverage51d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days+$1
14 days−$106
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $12 +$3 +22%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $230 −$218 -94%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $163 +$67 +41%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $99 +$64 +64%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $64 +$35 +55%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $52 +$11 +21%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $47 +$6 +12%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $40 +$7 +17%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $27 +$12 +44%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $26 +$3 +10%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $17 +$9 +50%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$3 +30%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $208 −$181 -87%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $186 +$9 +5%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their n Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $175 +$11 +6%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $121 +$54 +44%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $102 +$20 +20%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $87 +$14 +16%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $72 +$16 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $62 +$9 +15%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $45 +$16 +35%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 21 $45 +$1 +3%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 20 $27 +$17 +63%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs May 20 $1 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Grou May 20 $42 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 20 $12 +$9 +70%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B May 20 $24 +$2 +9%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q May 19 $20 +$4 +19%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea May 18 $18 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playo May 18 $15 +$3 +20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 16 $4 +$11 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 14 $5 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 13 $8 −$2 -26%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $7 +$3 +39%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $66 −$59 -90%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $40 +$26 +65%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08? May 09 $30 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 02 $1 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$40
other 9% −$1
crypto 3% −$6
world 2% +$11
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 48¢ $15 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 38¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 5¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 92¢ $230 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $230 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $163 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $163 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $99 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $64 28h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 82¢ $52 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 89¢ $47 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Monte 100¢ $47 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 85¢ $40 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 69¢ $27 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Spirit 91¢ $26 5d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $26 5d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BetBoom Team 66¢ $17 5d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL 9z 73¢ $13 6d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 55¢ $10 6d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL BIG 100¢ $14 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY BIG 93¢ $13 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL NRG 6¢ $13 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY NRG 92¢ $195 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner SELL FlyQuest 100¢ $196 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner BUY FlyQuest 95¢ $186 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner SELL TYLOO 100¢ $186 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner BUY TYLOO 94¢ $175 7d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL GamerLegion 99¢ $175 8d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY GamerLegion 68¢ $121 8d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL MIBR 99¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +22.6% +10.9% 92% 83% -9.4%
≤30d 45 -9.0% -17.7% 62% 49% -11.0%
≤90d 57 +3.5% -6.3% 67% 56% -11.0%
all 57 +3.5% -6.3% 67% 56% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.3% 56% -11.0%
10% -15.3% 39% -19.5%
15% -23.5% 33% -27.3%
20% -31.0% 21% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 125 history records