Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3dd7…8b31
crypto · 204 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$229 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$229 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$229
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses86 / 118
Open positions0
Markets (closed)204 / 204
History coverage9d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day100.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 204 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days−$205
14 days−$229
30 days−$229
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$6 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-24.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 189 -17.8% -25.6% 41% 35% -21.9%
≤30d 204 -16.0% -24.0% 42% 35% -21.5%
≤90d 204 -16.0% -24.0% 42% 35% -21.5%
all 204 -16.0% -24.0% 42% 35% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.0% 35% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -31.3% 31% -29.1%
15% -37.9% 26% -35.9%
20% -44.0% 23% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1071 history records