Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:30:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3df1…03e1
crypto · 830 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$171 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses728 / 102
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)830 / 830
History coverage161d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 830 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days+$72
14 days−$14
30 days−$235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 2 Winner Orbit Anonymo 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 1 Winner Orbit Anonymo 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $118 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -94%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $46 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +8%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $217 −$23 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $74 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $44 +$31 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $72 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $127 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $56 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $44 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $90 +$15 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $88 +$17 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $72 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 09 $118 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $72 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 09 $96 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $14 −$14 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 09 $53 +$22 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$93
sports 3% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 26h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Team WE 12¢ $1 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 72¢ $4 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 85¢ $4 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 55¢ $3 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 50¢ $3 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $4 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $4 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 75¢ $4 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 65¢ $3 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $18 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $4 28h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $4 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -3.4% -12.6% 87% 10% -6.7%
≤30d 531 +2.3% -7.5% 88% 12% -10.4%
≤90d 827 +1.3% -8.3% 88% 13% -9.2%
all 830 +1.2% -8.4% 88% 13% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 13% -9.2%
10% -17.2% 7% -17.9%
15% -25.2% 5% -25.8%
20% -32.5% 4% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2877 history records