Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3df3…6557
crypto · 321 markets active 17h ago
0.0score
−$23 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses265 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)321 / 321
History coverage18d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 321 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$39
14 days−$55
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $15 −$7 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 08 $15 −$7 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 08 $15 −$6 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 08 $12 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -7.8% -16.6% 74% 63% -17.6%
≤30d 321 +0.5% -9.1% 83% 59% -10.5%
≤90d 321 +0.5% -9.1% 83% 59% -10.5%
all 321 +0.5% -9.1% 83% 59% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 59% -10.5%
10% -17.8% 20% -19.0%
15% -25.7% 4% -26.9%
20% -33.0% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 629 history records