Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:03:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3df4…a60d
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$3 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses8 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$3 +132%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$1
other 16% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +2.2% -7.5% 73% 36% -0.6%
≤30d 11 +2.2% -7.5% 73% 36% -0.6%
≤90d 11 +2.2% -7.5% 73% 36% -0.6%
all 11 +2.2% -7.5% 73% 36% -0.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 36% -0.6%
10% -16.4% 27% -10.2%
15% -24.5% 18% -18.8%
20% -31.9% 9% -26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 30 history records