trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -60.9% | -64.6% | 30% | 30% | -73.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -60.9% | -64.6% | 30% | 30% | -73.5% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -69.5% | -72.4% | 24% | 24% | -77.5% |
| all | 24 | -43.5% | -48.9% | 42% | 42% | -42.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.9% | 42% | -42.7% |
| 10% | -53.8% | 25% | -48.2% |
| 15% | -58.2% | 8% | -53.2% |
| 20% | -62.3% | 4% | -57.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 54¢ | 37¢ | $81 | $56 | −$25 (-31%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Jun 22 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Jun 22 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Jun 22 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Jun 22 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Jun 20 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Jun 20 | $25 | +$4 | +14% |
| Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 | Jun 20 | $37 | +$13 | +35% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07? | Apr 25 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Apr 25 | $151 | −$151 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublev | Apr 25 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Apr 25 | $142 | −$142 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07? | Apr 25 | $94 | −$94 | -100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 25 | $117 | +$33 | +28% |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? | Jan 10 | $78 | −$14 | -19% |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 4+ times during the next Prime Minister | Jan 07 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |
| Bulls vs. Celtics | Jan 07 | $141 | +$29 | +20% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03? | Jan 04 | $92 | +$48 | +52% |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Jan 03 | $75 | +$25 | +33% |
| Cowboys vs. Commanders | Dec 26 | $40 | +$10 | +27% |
| Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is Y | Dec 26 | $225 | +$25 | +11% |