trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $20 | $19 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $19 | $19 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $19 | −$1 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | May 24 | $2 | +$3 | +194% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 0% | 0% | -13.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 57% | 14% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 57% | 14% | -11.3% |
| all | 7 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 57% | 14% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 14% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 14% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 14% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 14% | -34.6% |