Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3dfb…abaf
sports · 128 markets active 9h ago
0.0score
−$295,198 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$296,847 · open +$1,649
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,860
Realized−$296,847
Unrealized+$1,649
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses56 / 70
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$56,031
Open positions2
Markets (closed)126 / 128
History coverage8d
Avg bet$30,645
Trades / day395.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$604,904
7 days−$416,162
14 days−$296,847
30 days−$296,847
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 42¢ 50¢ $6,725 $8,044 +$1,319 (+20%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 25¢ 30¢ $1,486 $1,816 +$330 (+22%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Houston Astros 33¢ 0¢ $27,930 $0 −$27,930 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 55¢ 0¢ $39,519 $0 −$39,519 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 36¢ 0¢ $28,067 $0 −$28,067 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) South Africa 60¢ 0¢ $116,329 $0 −$116,329 (-100%)
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Seattle Mariners 45¢ 0¢ $17,697 $0 −$17,697 (-100%)
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Korea Republic 17¢ 0¢ $5,950 $0 −$5,950 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 32¢ 0¢ $356 $0 −$356 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $40,466 +$34,404 +85%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $73,999 +$125,793 +170%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $28,098 +$29,139 +104%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $4,755 +$3,631 +76%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $31 +$28 +90%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $22,879 +$8,811 +38%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $28 +$27 +97%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $5,956 −$5,950 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $205 +$147 +72%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $40,003 −$39,519 -99%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 11 $17,987 −$17,697 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $32,426 +$29,078 +90%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $28,565 −$28,067 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $363 −$356 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $38,322 +$31,678 +83%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $117,132 −$116,329 -99%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5,000 −$5,000 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $35,355 −$27,930 -79%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $18,469 −$9,590 -52%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $17,613 −$17,613 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $17,004 −$17,004 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $11,958 −$11,958 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $22,059 −$22,059 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $28,929 −$28,929 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $27,082 −$27,082 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $27,638 −$27,638 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $24,033 −$24,033 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $29,954 −$29,954 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Jun 11 $397 −$397 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 11 $417 −$417 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 11 $652 −$652 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 11 $3,845 −$3,845 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $3,628 −$3,628 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $5,827 −$5,827 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $8,879 −$8,879 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $14,418 −$14,418 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $33,851 −$33,851 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 11 $34,499 −$34,499 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $39,002 −$39,002 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 11 $48,848 −$48,848 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $40,893 −$40,893 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $69,185 −$69,185 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $63,194 −$63,194 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $79,742 −$79,742 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 11 $87,936 −$87,936 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 11 $120,602 −$120,602 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $11,722 +$10,477 +89%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $13,125 +$32,502 +248%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $40,895 +$47,370 +116%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $22,524 +$29,715 +132%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$415,991
other 2% +$120,793
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $199,793 8h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $266 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $10 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $24 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $10 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $145 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 57¢ $1 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $21 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 57¢ $8 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 57¢ $3 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $7 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $26 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $64 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $20 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $48 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 48¢ $502 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $14 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $26 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $2 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 48¢ $96 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 48¢ $16 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $2 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $106 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $4 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 48¢ $300 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $1,421 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 48¢ $374 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $2 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $3 11h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $56 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -20.8% -28.4% 41% 40% -19.7%
≤30d 126 -13.7% -21.9% 44% 44% -16.4%
≤90d 126 -13.7% -21.9% 44% 44% -16.4%
all 126 -13.7% -21.9% 44% 44% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover395.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 44% -16.4%
10% -29.4% 43% -24.4%
15% ← realistic here -36.2% 42% -31.7%
20% -42.4% 40% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,859.74 · official $9,861.34 (match) · 3500 history records