Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e3e…ea3d
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$35 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses20 / 17
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage31d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$22
14 days+$22
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $303 +$22 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 26 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 26 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 26 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 26 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 22 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 22 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 22 $12 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 22 $7 +$2 +22%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 22 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 22 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 22 $73 −$49 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 22 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 21 $31 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 19 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 19 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 19 $53 +$73 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 19 $152 +$52 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 19 $50 +$27 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 18 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 18 $84 +$46 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 18 $111 +$20 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 18 $103 −$36 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 18 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 18 $6 +$2 +37%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 15 $994 −$23 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$50
crypto 38% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 19¢ $67 11m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 17¢ $62 12m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 33¢ $63 30m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $61 37m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 38¢ $66 40m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $65 48m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 41¢ $12 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 38¢ $12 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 31¢ $57 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 27¢ $52 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 23¢ $60 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 19¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +7.2% -3.1% 100% 0% -3.1%
≤30d 35 -20.2% -27.8% 51% 37% -11.1%
≤90d 37 -16.1% -24.1% 54% 41% -10.9%
all 37 -16.1% -24.1% 54% 41% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.1% 41% -10.9%
10% -31.4% 22% -19.5%
15% -38.0% 16% -27.3%
20% -44.1% 11% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 143 history records