Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:41:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e4b…e8bd
crypto · 309 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$10 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses189 / 120
Open positions0
Markets (closed)309 / 309
History coverage3d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day159.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 309 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$100
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$15 +148%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$24 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7
other 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 309 -0.5% -10.0% 61% 54% -9.2%
≤30d 309 -0.5% -10.0% 61% 54% -9.2%
≤90d 309 -0.5% -10.0% 61% 54% -9.2%
all 309 -0.5% -10.0% 61% 54% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover159.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 54% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 33% -17.8%
15% -26.5% 20% -25.8%
20% -33.7% 13% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 733 history records