Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:11:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e59…2a66
sports · 726 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$4,479 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,885 · open +$98
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,775
Realized+$4,885
Unrealized+$98
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses296 / 406
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$1,276
Open positions24
Markets (closed)702 / 726
History coverage32d
Avg bet$231
Trades / day69.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 24 History 702 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$832
7 days+$6,045
14 days+$3,944
30 days+$4,355
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 62¢ 100¢ $2,435 $3,926 +$1,491 (+61%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Under 88¢ 100¢ $305 $344 +$40 (+13%)
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 12¢ 100¢ $34 $277 +$242 (+707%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 57¢ 100¢ $63 $111 +$48 (+76%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? No 64¢ 100¢ $31 $48 +$17 (+56%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 49¢ 48¢ $30 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 78¢ 66¢ $29 $25 −$4 (-15%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score No 72¢ 100¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+39%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $765 $2 −$763 (-100%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Türkiye 27¢ 0¢ $421 $1 −$420 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-99%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 7¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-99%)
Australia leading at halftime? No 47¢ 0¢ $223 $0 −$223 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-95%)
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Türkiye 87¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$5 (-98%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-98%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Under 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $73 +$100 +137%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $16 +$2 +14%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $96 +$44 +46%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $186 +$17 +9%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $110 +$65 +59%
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Jun 14 $122 +$7 +6%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1,151 −$1,055 -92%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $32 −$7 -23%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $467 +$354 +76%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $222 −$33 -15%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $287 −$101 -35%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $40 +$13 +31%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $66 −$43 -66%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $34 −$33 -98%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $112 −$65 -58%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2,838 +$351 +12%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $96 +$4 +4%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $2,278 +$1,179 +52%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $589 −$556 -94%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $1,088 +$1,020 +94%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $119 −$37 -31%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $169 +$8 +4%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $187 +$29 +16%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $475 +$148 +31%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $176 +$28 +16%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $15 +$4 +29%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $40 +$31 +76%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $802 −$548 -68%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $167 −$27 -16%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $37 +$689 +1845%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $47 −$47 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $24 +$6 +26%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 13 $96 −$94 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $34 −$34 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $4 +$125 +3211%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $4,396 +$2,426 +55%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $423 +$34 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% +$1,680
other 28% +$2,677
politics 3% +$778
world 0% −$103
crypto 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 14m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 88¢ $300 16m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 72¢ $8 26m
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 55¢ $11 31m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $48 32m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 7¢ $43 35m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 35m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 35m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 36m
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 83¢ $83 36m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 9¢ $6 36m
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 37m
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 37m
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 37m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 79¢ $6 39m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 62¢ $1,232 39m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 62¢ $1,232 40m
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 44m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $587 57m
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 59m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 237 +5.4% -4.6% 40% 33% -1.1%
≤30d 679 -10.6% -19.1% 42% 35% -7.4%
≤90d 702 -10.8% -19.3% 42% 35% -7.1%
all 702 -10.8% -19.3% 42% 35% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 35% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 26% -16.0%
15% -34.1% 20% -24.1%
20% -40.6% 17% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,775.29 · official $4,775.29 (match) · 3089 history records