trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $30 | +$13 | +44% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 11 | $6 | +$3 | +52% |
| Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 10 | $1 | +$2 | +188% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 28 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemot | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi | May 28 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-27? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-27? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys | May 28 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu | May 28 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-27? | May 27 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-27? | May 27 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27? | May 27 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox | May 27 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants | May 27 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals | May 27 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres | May 27 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 50% | 50% | +13.5% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -40.6% | -46.2% | 42% | 33% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -40.6% | -46.2% | 42% | 33% | -8.5% |
| all | 24 | -40.6% | -46.2% | 42% | 33% | -8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.2% | 33% | -8.5% |
| 10% | -51.4% | 21% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -56.1% | 17% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -60.4% | 12% | -32.6% |