Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:20:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e6b…8a98
other · 149 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,136 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,017 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,508
Realized+$1,017
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses63 / 17
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions73
Markets (closed)80 / 149
History coverage3d
Avg bet$177
Trades / day1276.6
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit14%
Chart Positions 73 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,006
7 days+$1,017
14 days+$1,017
30 days+$1,017
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 38¢ 38¢ $500 $493 −$7 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 60¢ $345 $343 −$3 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? No 43¢ 44¢ $250 $253 +$3 (+1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 81¢ 81¢ $250 $252 +$2 (+1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $250 $251 +$1 (+1%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $250 $247 −$3 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 74¢ $214 $216 +$2 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 43¢ 44¢ $205 $207 +$2 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? No 30¢ 30¢ $205 $201 −$3 (-2%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? No 30¢ 30¢ $157 $154 −$3 (-2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 76¢ 76¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 81¢ 81¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? No 88¢ 88¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 89¢ 90¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? No 81¢ 80¢ $150 $147 −$3 (-2%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? No 88¢ 88¢ $132 $133 +$1 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 82¢ $125 $124 −$1 (-1%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? No 55¢ 56¢ $120 $121 +$1 (+1%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? No 87¢ 88¢ $120 $121 +$1 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Yes 61¢ 62¢ $118 $119 +$1 (+1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 82¢ 82¢ $111 $112 +$1 (+1%)
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $96 $97 +$1 (+1%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? No 73¢ 72¢ $91 $91 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $74 +$2 +3%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $270 +$4 +2%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $111 $0 -0%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $222 +$3 +1%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? Jun 13 $74 +$75 +102%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $175 +$3 +2%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $82 +$1 +1%
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 13 $62 +$21 +34%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 13 $136 +$1 +1%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 13 $43 +$25 +56%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $85 +$2 +3%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 12 $131 +$58 +44%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 12 $120 −$4 -3%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? Jun 12 $75 +$1 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 12 $135 $0 +0%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $28 +$18 +64%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? Jun 12 $28 $0 +1%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 12 $55 +$1 +2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $254 −$9 -4%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $120 −$1 -1%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? Jun 12 $124 +$77 +62%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? Jun 12 $86 $0 +0%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $120 +$14 +12%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? Jun 12 $67 +$49 +73%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $120 $0 -0%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 12 $253 +$54 +21%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $173 +$4 +2%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $199 +$1 +0%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $175 $0 +0%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $26 +$1 +2%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 12 $179 +$2 +1%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $195 +$2 +1%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $87 $0 +0%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? Jun 12 $63 +$1 +1%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 12 $120 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $290 +$80 +28%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? Jun 12 $82 −$2 -3%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $84 +$1 +1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $425 +$105 +25%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $28 $0 +1%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $64 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $500 −$3 -1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $755 $0 -0%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 89% +$979
sports 6% −$5
crypto 2% +$43
world 2% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? SELL No 92¢ $7 3m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY No 90¢ $7 5m
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 89¢ $150 7m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $15 11m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $8 11m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $10 11m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $2 11m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $1 11m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $4 11m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL No 76¢ $21 13m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL No 76¢ $1 13m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $1 13m
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 13m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $75 13m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $3 14m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $75 14m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $4 14m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $8 14m
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? SELL No 82¢ $0 15m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $1 15m
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? BUY No 82¢ $62 15m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $25 17m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 85¢ $8 18m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $5 19m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? SELL No 92¢ $9 21m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $84 21m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $5 22m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $31 22m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $51 23m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 85¢ $23 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +10.1% -0.4% 79% 19% -1.3%
≤30d 80 +10.1% -0.4% 79% 19% -1.3%
≤90d 80 +10.1% -0.4% 79% 19% -1.3%
all 80 +10.1% -0.4% 79% 19% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1276.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.4% 19% -1.3%
10% ← realistic here -9.9% 16% -10.7%
15% -18.6% 11% -19.3%
20% -26.6% 9% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,507.83 · official $6,507.05 (match) · 3500 history records