Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:27:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e7a…1827
crypto · 1039 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,522 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,518 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$1,518
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses635 / 406
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1041 / 1039
History coverage11d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day216.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1041 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,093
7 days−$1,182
14 days−$1,518
30 days−$1,518
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 25¢ 1¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-95%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? No 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? No 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee Jun 12 $6 −$12 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +208%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$8 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$6 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$264 +965%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$20 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$7 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$18 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$7 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$52 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $154 −$16 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$8 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$18 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$11 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$7 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$8 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$10 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$63 +240%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,496
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $9 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $26 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $29 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $36 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $37 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $40 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $128 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $27 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 563 -1.6% -11.0% 69% 41% -13.4%
≤30d 1041 -4.2% -13.3% 61% 36% -13.7%
≤90d 1041 -4.2% -13.3% 61% 36% -13.7%
all 1041 -4.2% -13.3% 61% 36% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover216.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 36% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 19% -22.0%
15% -29.2% 12% -29.5%
20% -36.1% 6% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.20 · official $5.20 (match) · 3500 history records