Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:28:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e8a…0f61
crypto · 1341 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$689 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses634 / 735
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1369 / 1341
History coverage18d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day85.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1369 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$1,432
14 days−$586
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Hawks Jun 14 $0 −$1 -217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$7 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$12 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$14 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 864 -44.2% -49.5% 27% 27% -44.0%
≤30d 1369 -3.6% -12.8% 46% 46% -11.2%
≤90d 1369 -3.6% -12.8% 46% 46% -11.2%
all 1369 -3.6% -12.8% 46% 46% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 46% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 46% -19.7%
15% -28.7% 46% -27.5%
20% -35.7% 46% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records