Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e97…5ddc
crypto · 1136 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$20 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses677 / 458
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1135 / 1136
History coverage91d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day27.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$4
14 days+$15
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? Yes 45¢ 45¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +63%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +112%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -19%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 +$2 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -33%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 $0 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 12 $1 $0 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +71%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -68%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -32%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -76%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 12? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$5 +111%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -71%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9? Jun 10 $4 −$2 -42%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 10 $1 −$1 -72%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 10 $1 −$1 -80%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -21%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 −$1 -33%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10? Jun 09 $1 $0 -24%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 +$2 +115%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +125%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 +$3 +127%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 8? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 +$1 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% −$86
weather 39% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 45¢ $2 48m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 80¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 60¢ $3 8h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL Yes 85¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 54¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 10h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju SELL Yes 94¢ $2 10h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 60¢ $1 10h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 80¢ $9 24h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL Yes 84¢ $5 24h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 25h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 25h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 66¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 26h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 26h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 55¢ $3 26h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 18¢ $1 26h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 27h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 28h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 28h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? SELL Yes 53¢ $3 31h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 32h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? SELL Yes 26¢ $2 32h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL Yes 13¢ $1 33h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL Yes 57¢ $2 33h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 34h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY Yes 20¢ $1 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -9.2% -17.9% 46% 40% -12.6%
≤30d 253 +2.1% -7.6% 56% 47% -5.6%
≤90d 1042 -3.7% -12.9% 59% 42% -12.6%
all 1135 -3.8% -12.9% 60% 43% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 43% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 27% -21.0%
15% -28.9% 15% -28.7%
20% -35.8% 9% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.00 · official $2.00 (match) · 2717 history records