Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:28:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3eb6…bddf
sports · 583 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$67 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open +$49
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$490
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$49
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses292 / 290
Est. fees paid−$92
Open positions1
Markets (closed)582 / 583
History coverage88d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 582 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$117
7 days+$42
14 days+$51
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Los Angeles Thieves 90¢ 100¢ $441 $490 +$49 (+11%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs NRG 31¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Sinners 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 72¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Monte 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs 100 Thieves 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner YFP Gaming 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha Leviatán Esports 48¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 76¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Nigma Galaxy 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega Sentinels 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers FaZe Vegas 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PlayTime 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One - Map 2 Winner Division One 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B Xtreme Gaming 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Gentle Mates 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 3 Winner 1win 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $70 +$16 +23%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $420 +$55 +13%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$5 +36%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $200 +$13 +6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$7 +48%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ Jun 11 $10 +$3 +32%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $2 +$16 +786%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $15 +$29 +188%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $20 +$9 +46%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $15 −$15 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $100 +$17 +17%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3 +$3 +105%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $20 +$7 +34%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $300 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6 +$3 +48%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3 +$3 +93%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$8 +165%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3 +$5 +165%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $10 +$20 +197%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 07 $15 +$4 +29%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $200 +$4 +2%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $300 +$10 +3%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 06 $100 +$4 +4%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $15 −$15 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $15 −$15 -99%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers Leag Jun 06 $210 +$65 +31%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 06 $201 +$24 +12%
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $15 −$15 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $30 +$4 +13%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $280 +$15 +5%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 04 $25 −$25 -99%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Sta Jun 03 $10 −$10 -98%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 02 $161 −$6 -4%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Sta Jun 02 $100 +$3 +3%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $201 +$24 +12%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western E Jun 01 $110 +$10 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$80
other 7% +$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $101 57m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 98¢ $42 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 98¢ $95 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 98¢ $51 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 98¢ $8 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 98¢ $30 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 95¢ $15 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 98¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 91¢ $365 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $30 5h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $40 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $15 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 97¢ $200 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 82¢ $40 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 37¢ $10 8h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 73¢ $15 22h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 97¢ $100 29h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 91¢ $100 29h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $6 29h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $15 32h
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ BUY 100 Thieves 75¢ $10 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY XLG Gaming 11¢ $2 2d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY FUT Esports 34¢ $15 2d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY XLG Gaming 68¢ $20 3d
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta BUY NRG 46¢ $15 4d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY FUT Esports 50¢ $10 4d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY LYON 85¢ $50 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY LYON 85¢ $50 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 98¢ $300 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 74¢ $20 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +24.6% +12.7% 67% 53% -8.0%
≤30d 205 -4.4% -13.5% 54% 49% -8.7%
≤90d 582 -3.2% -12.4% 50% 47% -9.4%
all 582 -3.2% -12.4% 50% 47% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.4% 47% -9.4%
10% -20.8% 42% -18.1%
15% -28.5% 34% -26.0%
20% -35.5% 28% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $489.52 · official $489.52 (match) · 1270 history records