trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 15% | 15% | -24.7% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 15% | 15% | -24.7% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 15% | 15% | -24.7% |
| all | 26 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 15% | 15% | -24.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -25.9% | 15% | -24.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -33.0% | 12% | -31.9% |
| 15% | -39.5% | 4% | -38.5% |
| 20% | -45.4% | 4% | -44.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 84¢ | 82¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 80¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 47¢ | 45¢ | $6 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 66¢ | $6 | $5 | −$0 (-5%) |
| SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? | SpaceX | 89¢ | 89¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 72¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 84¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | Yes | 89¢ | 81¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 89¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+13%) |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | Jun 15 | $17 | −$4 | -21% |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? | Jun 15 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S | Jun 15 | $5 | +$3 | +54% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $58 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$3 | -28% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $58 | −$2 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $18 | −$4 | -23% |
| Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$2 | -41% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$2 | -41% |
| Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30? | Jun 15 | $7 | −$3 | -46% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 15 | $10 | +$3 | +30% |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $22 | −$7 | -32% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2 | Jun 15 | $6 | −$4 | -62% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Jun 15 | $13 | +$3 | +24% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 14 | $83 | −$25 | -30% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |