Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3ed1…3695
crypto · 96 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$114 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$130
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses49 / 46
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)95 / 96
History coverage14d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day49.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$454
7 days−$121
14 days−$121
30 days−$130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 70¢ 98¢ $40 $56 +$16 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$51 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$36 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $95 +$72 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$78 -97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $74 +$37 +50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $55 +$13 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$35 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$71 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$68 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$84 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$39 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$55 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $134 +$121 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $156 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $196 −$188 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $102 −$99 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $134 +$99 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $64 −$61 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $126 +$139 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $106 −$102 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $65 +$72 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$29 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$15 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $51 +$32 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $78 +$68 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$39 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $55 +$28 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $150 +$124 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $83 +$68 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $80 −$77 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$180
sports 3% +$49
other 1% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 58m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 70¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -6.1% -15.1% 52% 51% -11.8%
≤30d 95 -6.7% -15.6% 52% 51% -12.0%
≤90d 95 -6.7% -15.6% 52% 51% -12.0%
all 95 -6.7% -15.6% 52% 51% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 51% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 48% -20.4%
15% -31.1% 45% -28.1%
20% -37.8% 42% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.17 · official $56.17 (match) · 741 history records