Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:39:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3ee3…6d33
sports · 51 markets active 4h ago
4.5score
+$108 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$103 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$21
Realized+$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses27 / 22
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions2
Markets (closed)49 / 51
History coverage11d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$47
14 days+$103
30 days+$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 57¢ 56¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Ben Shelton 47¢ 46¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Jovic vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5 Over 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Over 41¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 48¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Arthur Fery 58¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 51¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 55¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Cleveland Guardians 41¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Darja Semenistaja Elina Avanesyan 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) Belal Muhammad 52¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Alexander Bublik 57¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Spurs 47¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Katie Boulter 54¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Anna Kalinskaya 60¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 57¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 52¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $20 +$22 +109%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $12 −$11 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $35 −$35 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$15 +103%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$12 +250%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $10 +$15 +146%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $21 −$21 -99%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $23 −$22 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 11 $10 −$9 -99%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $10 +$10 +101%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $10 +$11 +109%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $10 +$11 +114%
Jovic vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $10 +$9 +93%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $5 +$5 +101%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $13 +$10 +79%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$23 +114%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $10 +$7 +70%
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 08 $9 +$4 +44%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5 Jun 07 $51 +$39 +76%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $20 +$11 +57%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $19 −$18 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $5 +$19 +388%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 07 $12 +$8 +62%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $11 +$11 +101%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henning Jun 06 $10 +$11 +114%
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 06 $8 −$8 -98%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 06 $9 +$19 +200%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 05 $11 −$10 -99%
Arnaldi vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 05 $10 $0 -3%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5) Jun 05 $13 +$8 +62%
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 04 $10 +$6 +65%
Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 04 $10 +$12 +129%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $7 +$7 +97%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $16 +$15 +90%
Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 03 $24 +$14 +60%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $14 −$14 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$91
other 7% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 47¢ $10 3h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 57¢ $12 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $9 10h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $20 12h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 54¢ $12 25h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 57¢ $35 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 36h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 41h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 44h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $6 44h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 52¢ $21 2d
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $23 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $10 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 2d
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 51¢ $10 3d
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 57¢ $15 3d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 47¢ $10 4d
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 40¢ $10 4d
Jovic vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 52¢ $10 4d
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 49¢ $10 4d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Mattia Bellucci 46¢ $10 4d
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 51¢ $10 5d
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm BUY Martin Damm 55¢ $13 5d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Katie Boulter 49¢ $5 6d
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 46¢ $5 6d
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov BUY Marin Cilic 58¢ $10 6d
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 34¢ $9 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $20 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +13.2% +2.4% 54% 54% +1.9%
≤30d 49 +20.2% +8.7% 55% 55% +5.6%
≤90d 49 +20.2% +8.7% 55% 55% +5.6%
all 49 +20.2% +8.7% 55% 55% +5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +8.7% 55% +5.6%
10% -1.7% 55% -4.5%
15% -11.2% 55% -13.7%
20% -19.9% 53% -22.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.11 · official $21.12 (match) · 84 history records