Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:22:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3ee4…ed67
sports · 530 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,140 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$587 · open −$554
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,273
Realized−$587
Unrealized−$554
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses285 / 237
Est. fees paid−$346
Open positions8
Markets (closed)522 / 530
History coverage21d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day150.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 8 History 522 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$432
7 days−$799
14 days−$322
30 days−$587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 56¢ 100¢ $295 $523 +$227 (+77%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 64¢ 100¢ $197 $310 +$113 (+57%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 67¢ 100¢ $173 $258 +$84 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 69¢ 100¢ $74 $108 +$34 (+46%)
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 30¢ 22¢ $50 $37 −$12 (-25%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 56¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+7%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 59¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 45¢ 44¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 69¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 52¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 65¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $74 −$17 -23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $126 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$72 -72%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $473 −$50 -11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $174 +$35 +20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $422 +$80 +19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$23 +90%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $247 +$15 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $149 +$8 +5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $150 +$61 +41%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $300 −$300 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $253 −$253 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$46 +92%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $277 −$245 -88%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $124 +$15 +12%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $436 +$158 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $322 +$101 +32%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $274 +$116 +42%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$4 +40%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$3 +29%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 10 $4 $0 +10%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 10 $50 −$8 -16%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 10 $11 −$2 -17%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $27 −$6 -21%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $8 −$2 -24%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 10 $8 −$3 -34%
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashire Jun 10 $4 −$4 -92%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $18 −$7 -37%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 10 $23 −$5 -24%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 10 $34 −$3 -9%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 10 $9 −$7 -71%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $24 −$4 -18%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $14 −$6 -40%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 10 $28 −$9 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$1,138
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 79¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 83¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 78¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 74¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 62¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 62¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 55¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 63¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 69¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 75¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 38¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 57¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 52¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 72¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 71¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 74¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 68¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 62¢ $25 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -20.0% -27.6% 45% 23% -19.5%
≤30d 522 -8.4% -17.2% 55% 21% -13.0%
≤90d 522 -8.4% -17.2% 55% 21% -13.0%
all 522 -8.4% -17.2% 55% 21% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover150.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 21% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 15% -21.4%
15% -32.3% 11% -29.0%
20% -39.0% 7% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,273.26 · official $1,273.26 (match) · 3500 history records