Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:46:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3E 0x3eec…46e9 crypto 1759 markets active 0h ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$43 (+1%) realized +$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1740W / 31L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day100.2pace
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$18
14 days−$19
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$10
other 13% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 783 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 1771 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 1771 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 0% -9.9%
all 1771 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover100.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1740 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1771 / 1759
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day100.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1771 Trades
no open positions (31 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records