Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:58:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f08…f2a2
crypto · 206 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$20 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses117 / 84
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions5
Markets (closed)201 / 206
History coverage45d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 5 History 201 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$53
14 days+$16
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Bigetron by Vitality 66¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 66¢ 66¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 62¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +81%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +40%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$6 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $17 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$4 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% −$85
sports 31% +$223
other 15% −$118
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - BUY Bigetron by Vitality 66¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 62¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 66¢ $7 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $14 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $6 40h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -5.4% -14.4% 49% 40% -25.3%
≤30d 199 -2.2% -11.5% 59% 47% -8.0%
≤90d 201 -3.2% -12.4% 58% 46% -8.2%
all 201 -3.2% -12.4% 58% 46% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.4% 46% -8.2%
10% -20.8% 35% -17.0%
15% -28.4% 27% -25.0%
20% -35.4% 25% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.97 · official $25.97 (match) · 383 history records