Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f23…9a2e
sports · 92 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$130 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$142 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$142
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses20 / 64
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions8
Markets (closed)84 / 92
History coverage85d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 58¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 66¢ 80¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 34¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 57¢ 57¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 19¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 72¢ 34¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-53%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A TYLOO 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Invictus Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage fnatic 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs Inner Circle Esports 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Dplus KIA 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Liquid 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Entropy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A Entropy 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs Team Falcons 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Dripmen (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs Subtop De France 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs magic 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Ninjas in Pyjamas 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 JD Gaming 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs FURIA 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Entropy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In May 25 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Dripmen (BO3) - CCT Europe Challen May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters May 24 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series May 24 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $5 +$16 +307%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla May 23 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qual May 21 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro May 21 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $21 −$3 -14%
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group May 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 06 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 24 $8 +$12 +146%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 18 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Gro Apr 18 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group St Apr 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Apr 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Pl Apr 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 04 $79 +$11 +13%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 04 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs ALKA (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paul Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Close Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha Apr 01 $5 +$3 +64%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs Apr 01 $6 +$6 +98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - GangKui Cup P Apr 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Q Apr 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs AaB Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Champion Apr 01 $6 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Clos Apr 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $10 +$19 +188%
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $1 −$1 -91%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Champ Mar 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega Mar 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $10 +$11 +109%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualif Mar 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$142
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 40¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 19¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 50¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 57¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 34¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 72¢ $1 1h
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 30¢ $1 16d
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 26¢ $1 16d
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Entropy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In BUY Entropy 31¢ $5 20d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff BUY Dplus KIA 20¢ $1 20d
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Dripmen (BO3) - CCT Europe Challen BUY Subtop De France 45¢ $1 20d
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters BUY Inner Circle Esports 68¢ $2 20d
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters BUY Inner Circle Esports 67¢ $1 20d
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series BUY fnatic 61¢ $10 20d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P SELL Legacy 100¢ $21 20d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 60¢ $10 20d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P BUY Legacy 24¢ $5 21d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla BUY MOUZ 36¢ $3 22d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qual BUY JD Gaming 16¢ $3 23d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro BUY Liquid 51¢ $1 23d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 9¢ $3 27d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs SELL Spirit 91¢ $27 27d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY Spirit 61¢ $18 28d
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group BUY TYLOO 23¢ $3 28d
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY magic 16¢ $5 28d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY FURIA 48¢ $5 29d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY FURIA 77¢ $5 29d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY FURIA 81¢ $10 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-47.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 15 -72.9% -75.5% 7% 7% -74.9%
≤90d 84 -42.5% -47.9% 24% 23% -32.4%
all 84 -42.5% -47.9% 24% 23% -32.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -47.9% 23% -32.4%
10% -52.9% 21% -38.9%
15% -57.5% 21% -44.8%
20% -61.6% 19% -50.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.62 · official $11.62 (match) · 194 history records