Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:44:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f2f…8150
crypto · 586 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$24,622 +90%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$680 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized+$680
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses297 / 288
Open positions1
Markets (closed)585 / 586
History coverage2d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day1417.2
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$659
7 days+$680
14 days+$680
30 days+$680
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 60¢ 74¢ $18 $22 +$4 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $58 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $67 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $193 −$11 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $70 +$19 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $58 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$33 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$16 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $81 −$21 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $141 −$9 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$14 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$12 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$12 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$10 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$19 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$15 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $192 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $118 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$11 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $82 −$18 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$16 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $53 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $66 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $157 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$18 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$8 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $43 −$9 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$680
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $17 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $23 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $26 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $26 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $15 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $28 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $22 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $13 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $27 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 585 +6.5% -3.6% 51% 40% -7.3%
≤30d 585 +6.5% -3.6% 51% 40% -7.3%
≤90d 585 +6.5% -3.6% 51% 40% -7.3%
all 585 +6.5% -3.6% 51% 40% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1417.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.6% 40% -7.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.8% 32% -16.1%
15% -21.3% 27% -24.3%
20% -29.0% 21% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.66 · official $16.72 · 3500 history records