Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f71…861b
other · 32 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$27 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses2 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day58.2
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit9%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $53 −$1 -2%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $41 −$1 -3%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $39 −$3 -7%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $31 −$2 -5%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $30 −$1 -2%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $25 −$2 -6%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $23 −$1 -4%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $23 −$1 -4%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $19 −$1 -3%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $18 −$1 -5%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $18 $0 -2%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $17 −$1 -3%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $15 $0 -3%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $12 $0 -3%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $8 $0 -4%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $87 $0 -0%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$35 +172%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$9 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% +$29
crypto 6% −$2
world 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $52 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $40 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 46¢ $36 2h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 48¢ $29 2h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 90¢ $30 2h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 39¢ $24 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 59¢ $22 2h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 66¢ $22 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 76¢ $18 2h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 52¢ $18 2h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 81¢ $17 2h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 70¢ $16 2h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 70¢ $15 2h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 67¢ $12 2h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 73¢ $11 2h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 44¢ $8 2h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 57¢ $7 2h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 56¢ $6 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 60¢ $6 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? SELL Yes 63¢ $5 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 90¢ $4 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 74¢ $4 2h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? SELL Yes 80¢ $4 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 56¢ $4 2h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 48¢ $4 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 43¢ $3 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 49¢ $3 2h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? SELL Yes 59¢ $3 2h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 58¢ $2 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $86 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +3.3% -6.6% 6% 6% -5.3%
≤30d 32 +3.3% -6.6% 6% 6% -5.3%
≤90d 32 +3.3% -6.6% 6% 6% -5.3%
all 32 +3.3% -6.6% 6% 6% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 6% -5.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 6% -14.3%
15% -23.7% 6% -22.6%
20% -31.2% 3% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 64 history records