Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f72…bb40
crypto · 595 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$329 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$329 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$38
Realized−$329
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses252 / 346
Open positions1
Markets (closed)598 / 595
Avg bet$41
Trades / day309.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 598 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,166
7 days−$551
14 days−$329
30 days−$329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 45¢ 36¢ $30 $25 −$6 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 59¢ 64¢ $11 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$25 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$14 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$20 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$14 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$41 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$8 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$47 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$27 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $85 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$13 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $69 −$11 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$16 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$10 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$29 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $106 −$21 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $85 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$6 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$319
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 559 -6.1% -15.0% 42% 36% -11.7%
≤30d 598 -3.8% -12.9% 42% 37% -10.7%
≤90d 598 -3.8% -12.9% 42% 37% -10.7%
all 598 -3.8% -12.9% 42% 37% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover309.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 37% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 32% -19.3%
15% -28.9% 25% -27.1%
20% -35.8% 19% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.81 · official $43.25 · 3500 history records