Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:33:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f82…24bf
crypto · 554 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,560 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,560 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,560
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses277 / 277
Open positions0
Markets (closed)554 / 554
History coverage26d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day111.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 554 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$88
7 days−$738
14 days−$1,657
30 days−$3,560
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $37 +$31 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $43 +$37 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $43 +$39 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $42 +$36 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$17 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$17 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$17 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $42 +$34 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$35 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$17 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $38 +$32 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$17 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$17 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $43 −$43 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $43 −$43 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $22 +$18 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $22 +$18 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $22 +$18 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$21 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $22 +$18 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$21 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$18 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3,560
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $12 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 -11.2% -19.7% 49% 49% -24.6%
≤30d 554 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 50% -21.4%
≤90d 554 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 50% -21.4%
all 554 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 50% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 50% -21.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 50% -28.9%
15% -32.4% 50% -35.8%
20% -39.0% 50% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records