Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:05:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f85…1987
crypto · 1166 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$106 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$106 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$106
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1001 / 165
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1166 / 1166
History coverage50d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day46.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77
7 days+$32
14 days−$19
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$13 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$12 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$14 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $67 +$13 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $82 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $79 +$12 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $78 +$10 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $73 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $46 +$10 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $69 +$14 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$106
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 +0.4% -9.2% 84% 81% -9.2%
≤30d 630 -0.7% -10.1% 82% 80% -9.5%
≤90d 1166 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 48% -10.0%
all 1166 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 48% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 48% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 19% -18.6%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records