Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f85…42b2
crypto · 456 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$111 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses228 / 228
Open positions0
Markets (closed)456 / 456
Avg bet$11
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 456 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$32
14 days−$32
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 2PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$97
finance 3% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -3.2% -12.4% 56% 45% -14.3%
≤30d 110 -3.2% -12.4% 56% 45% -14.3%
≤90d 368 -1.9% -11.2% 53% 49% -12.6%
all 456 -3.6% -12.8% 50% 47% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 47% -11.8%
10% -21.1% 44% -20.2%
15% -28.7% 42% -27.9%
20% -35.7% 39% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 849 history records