Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T05:18:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3F 0x3f97…4059 sports 80 markets active 0h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 16d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (205 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$5,705 (+1%) realized +$5,705 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +80% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +25% what you keep after slip
Net edge+25%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate56%56W / 44L
Whale WR84%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6,183per market
Trades / day204.8pace
Fees−$11,030est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 17d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 98% +$1,354
world 2% +$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (205 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)+62.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +264.0% +229.3% 25% 21% -45.6%
≤30d 100 +79.5% +62.4% 56% 16% -10.6%
≤90d 100 +79.5% +62.4% 56% 16% -10.6%
all 100 +79.5% +62.4% 56% 16% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover204.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +62.4% 16% -10.6%
10% +46.8% 13% -19.2%
15% ← realistic here +32.7% 13% -27.0%
20% +19.6% 13% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +79% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 84% (≥$7,745) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +40% → late +119% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
23.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$170 vs −$410 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,705
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses56 / 44
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$11,030
Open positions0
Markets (closed)100 / 80
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$6,183
Trades / day204.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 100 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs Jun 28 $64 −$358 -562%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 28 $378 −$378 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $0 −$428 -603734%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 28 $954 −$886 -93%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 28 $269 −$269 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $0 +$297 +789524%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $314 −$275 -88%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $233 −$613 -263%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 28 $529 −$529 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 28 $217 −$211 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $0 +$148 +127477%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 28 $870 −$870 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $2,950 −$3,114 -106%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 28 $0 +$42 +132519%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $604 −$964 -160%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $820 −$943 -115%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 28 $0 +$77 +127358%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 28 $451 −$451 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 28 $209 −$209 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $9,812 +$60 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $4,135 −$1 -0%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $104 +$13 +12%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 21 $788 −$788 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 20 $31,753 +$45 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 20 $5,612 −$41 -1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 20 $2,847 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla Jun 19 $1,891 +$132 +7%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $12,666 +$145 +1%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 19 $4,801 +$582 +12%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof Jun 19 $5,240 +$654 +12%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $2,441 +$1 +0%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner Jun 19 $295 −$295 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $18,734 −$125 -1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $11,108 +$137 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $676 −$675 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $163 −$163 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $5,700 +$100 +2%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo Jun 15 $895 +$701 +78%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $20,405 +$186 +1%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $440 −$440 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof Jun 15 $1,480 −$440 -30%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $5,964 +$217 +4%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $275 −$275 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $0 $0 +96%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $11,588 −$184 -2%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 15 $200 +$400 +200%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $500 +$520 +104%
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Jun 15 $200 −$200 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 16¢ $1,406 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 15¢ $1 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 15¢ $0 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 15¢ $3 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 15¢ $3 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 15¢ $1,309 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 15¢ $1 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 15¢ $0 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 15¢ $0 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 15¢ $2 20m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 14¢ $11 26m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 14¢ $1,120 27m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 15¢ $35 35m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 15¢ $29 35m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 15¢ $2 35m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 15¢ $13 36m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 15¢ $2 36m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $691 36m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 15¢ $2 36m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 15¢ $505 37m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $49 37m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $173 38m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $35 38m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $0 40m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $7 40m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $16 40m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $3 40m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $10 40m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $2 40m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $6 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records