trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +105.1% | +85.6% | 100% | 100% | +85.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +65.8% | +50.0% | 100% | 75% | +71.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +15.7% | +4.7% | 80% | 30% | +20.2% |
| all | 15 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 80% | 20% | +17.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 20% | +17.8% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 20% | +6.5% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 20% | -3.8% |
| 20% | -30.7% | 20% | -13.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $280 | +$294 | +105% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $175 | +$163 | +93% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $146 | +$95 | +65% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | May 28 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Apr 22 | $170 | −$167 | -98% |
| Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | Apr 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Apr 22 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Apr 22 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Apr 22 | $22 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10? | Apr 22 | $247 | −$24 | -10% |
| Will Forces Cauris pour un Bénin Émergent (FCBE) win the most seats in | Feb 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $12 end of January? | Feb 02 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by January 31? | Feb 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | Feb 02 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Jan 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |