Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:47:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3fc0…847d
crypto · 195 markets active 3h ago
1.0score
+$8,481 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,481 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8,481
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses71 / 124
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$3,515
Open positions0
Markets (closed)195 / 195
History coverage78d
Avg bet$569
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 195 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,290
7 days+$4,607
14 days+$5,926
30 days+$9,136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $7,340 −$2,905 -40%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $10,526 −$921 -9%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $7,801 +$1,557 +20%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $3,971 +$1,555 +39%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $1,721 −$576 -34%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $2,581 +$309 +12%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $2,550 +$163 +6%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $5,155 +$4,021 +78%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $4,640 +$85 +2%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $3,600 −$959 -27%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $1,989 +$1,857 +93%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $3,657 +$421 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 05 $483 −$459 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 05 $608 +$266 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 05 $416 −$399 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 05 $32 −$30 -94%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $2,887 −$2,850 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 04 $1,430 −$601 -42%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 03 $2,487 −$2,450 -98%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 03 $1,800 +$1,567 +87%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 02 $2,637 +$6,671 +253%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 02 $2,612 −$1,521 -58%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 31 $3,478 −$760 -22%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 31 $2,077 +$2,817 +136%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $6,077 −$3,310 -54%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 31 $2,187 −$315 -14%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals May 30 $1,321 +$2,473 +187%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros May 30 $2,110 +$221 +10%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 30 $4,083 +$1,003 +25%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros May 30 $2,036 +$527 +26%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 30 $2,367 +$148 +6%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 30 $1,021 −$1,000 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals May 30 $1,022 +$682 +67%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 29 $1,493 +$1,442 +97%
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets May 28 $1,040 −$1,020 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 27 $509 −$500 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox May 27 $351 +$568 +162%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 26 $102 +$102 +101%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 25 $613 +$1,762 +287%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET May 18 $30 +$21 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET May 18 $27 +$26 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET May 18 $32 +$29 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET May 18 $34 +$32 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET May 18 $50 +$26 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET May 18 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET May 18 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET May 18 $28 −$27 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET May 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET May 18 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET May 18 $44 −$44 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$10,273
crypto 9% −$1,792
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 29¢ $2,967 3h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 25¢ $4,914 3h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 69¢ $6,836 3h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 43¢ $4,374 3h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 25¢ $5,112 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 9¢ $901 4h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 24¢ $4,691 4h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 26¢ $5,413 4h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 56¢ $5,526 5h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 39¢ $3,971 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 46¢ $9,051 6h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 34¢ $6,900 6h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 12¢ $1,144 7h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 17¢ $81 7h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 17¢ $322 7h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 17¢ $162 7h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 17¢ $16 7h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 16¢ $1,140 7h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 30¢ $2,890 2d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 25¢ $2,581 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Texas Rangers 55¢ $2,713 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 51¢ $306 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 51¢ $1,357 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 51¢ $1 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 51¢ $1 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 51¢ $883 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 48¢ $2 2d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 47¢ $9,176 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 25¢ $5,155 3d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres SELL San Diego Padres 48¢ $4,725 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +20.9% +9.4% 67% 50% -0.1%
≤30d 67 -4.0% -13.1% 46% 40% +0.5%
≤90d 195 -10.6% -19.1% 36% 34% -0.9%
all 195 -10.6% -19.1% 36% 34% -0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 34% -0.9%
10% -26.9% 33% -10.4%
15% -33.9% 32% -19.1%
20% -40.4% 29% -27.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1041 history records