trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 75% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 19 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 21% | 5% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 5% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 5% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 5% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 5% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | May 27 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 13-19? | Apr 28 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 14 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Feb 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 09 | $380 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 09 | $354 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 05 | $395 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 05 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Feb 05 | $384 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 05 | $382 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 04 | $399 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 03 | $727 | −$1 | -0% |
| Rockets vs. Pacers | Feb 03 | $15 | +$8 | +52% |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 03 | $360 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 03 | $723 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 02 | $307 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 02 | $384 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $332 | $0 | -0% |