Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:52:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3fd1…17cc
sports · 837 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,143 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,123 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$2,123
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses353 / 670
Est. fees paid−$349
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1023 / 837
History coverage95d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day36.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 1023 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,602
7 days−$2,807
14 days−$2,462
30 days−$1,963
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 5¢ 9¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+104%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 6¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-99%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner G2 NORD 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Eintracht Spandau 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner LOS 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Winthrop University 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 4¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 4 Winner paiN Gaming Academy 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Solary 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs Meavedron 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Natus Vincere 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 2¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner Fluxo W7M 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner ThunderTalk Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner 3DMAX 72¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage ex-RUBY 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Invictus Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Movistar KOI 8¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 2 Winner Estral Esports 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$10 -108%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $31 −$3 -10%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 G Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 −$26 -6227%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$10 -117%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$134 +798%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Jun 13 $12 −$9 -75%
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$23 -114%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$5 -68%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winne Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $21 −$10 -47%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $23 −$31 -132%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $8 +$12 +150%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $0 −$14 -82261%
LoL: Los Heretics vs LUA Gaming (BO1) - LES Kick-off Group B Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: NightBirds vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $35 −$73 -207%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$36 +304%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$614
crypto 1% −$9
other 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 67¢ $19 41m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 71¢ $12 41m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 22¢ $9 45m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 17¢ $1 46m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 87¢ $26 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 36¢ $8 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 36¢ $2 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 36¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 22¢ $12 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 20¢ $6 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 17¢ $4 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 16¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 9¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 9¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 7¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 13¢ $6 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 6¢ $0 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 6¢ $2 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 6¢ $1 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 6¢ $3 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 6¢ $5 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 10¢ $4 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 11¢ $3 1h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY G2 NORD 1¢ $0 2h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 7¢ $5 2h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY G2 NORD 1¢ $1 2h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 10¢ $3 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 7¢ $5 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 19¢ $9 2h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 8¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 254 -51.4% -56.1% 15% 14% -70.9%
≤30d 503 +15.7% +4.7% 29% 27% -35.1%
≤90d 997 +4.3% -5.7% 34% 29% -21.5%
all 1023 +5.7% -4.3% 35% 30% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 30% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 27% -28.5%
15% -21.8% 24% -35.4%
20% -29.5% 20% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.70 · official $20.70 (match) · 3500 history records