Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:57:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3fe1…e9f2
crypto · 718 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$546 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$546 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$546
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses416 / 302
Open positions0
Markets (closed)718 / 718
History coverage22d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day59.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 718 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,307
7 days−$340
14 days−$354
30 days−$546
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$24 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$34 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$42 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$17 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$33 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$17 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$21 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$25 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$9 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$31 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$14 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$29 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$63 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$46 +112%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$33 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$546
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $44 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $21 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $72 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $38 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $31 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $13 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $41 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $38 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $34 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $45 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $52 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 268 -7.3% -16.1% 45% 44% -13.7%
≤30d 718 -3.5% -12.7% 58% 44% -14.0%
≤90d 718 -3.5% -12.7% 58% 44% -14.0%
all 718 -3.5% -12.7% 58% 44% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 44% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 34% -22.2%
15% -28.7% 30% -29.7%
20% -35.7% 26% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1538 history records