Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3ff3…88e9
crypto · 839 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$512 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$512 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$512
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses429 / 410
Open positions0
Markets (closed)839 / 839
History coverage90d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day29.8
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 839 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$17
14 days+$12
30 days+$120
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$27 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$5 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$7 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $38 +$50 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $44 −$42 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 06 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$5 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 05 $14 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $12 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$5 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$6 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$6 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 02 $6 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 02 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 01 $4 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $21 +$11 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 01 $12 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 01 $4 −$4 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$512
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +20.5% +9.0% 53% 47% -3.1%
≤30d 259 +6.3% -3.8% 53% 49% -6.4%
≤90d 839 +9.1% -1.3% 51% 49% -4.7%
all 839 +9.1% -1.3% 51% 49% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.3% 49% -4.7%
10% ← realistic here -10.8% 44% -13.8%
15% -19.4% 38% -22.1%
20% -27.3% 34% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records