Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:23:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3ff9…bb89
sports · 356 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,370 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,610 · open −$760
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$520
Realized−$4,610
Unrealized−$760
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses280 / 75
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$1,793
Open positions1
Markets (closed)355 / 356
History coverage125d
Avg bet$985
Trades / day25.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 355 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$1,021
14 days−$301
30 days−$1,228
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 64¢ 26¢ $1,280 $520 −$760 (-59%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 5¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds 13¢ 0¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 69¢ 0¢ $2,401 $0 −$2,401 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Atlanta Braves 62¢ 0¢ $999 $0 −$999 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 51¢ 0¢ $559 $0 −$559 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Pistons 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 12¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants Pittsburgh Pirates 85¢ 0¢ $850 $0 −$850 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 58¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 2¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 6¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Los Angeles Dodgers 24¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers San Diego Padres 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 17¢ 0¢ $169 $0 −$169 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Pistons 94¢ 0¢ $940 $0 −$940 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $701 +$28 +4%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $102 −$6 -5%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $141 +$22 +16%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $29 −$29 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $566 −$559 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $49 +$51 +105%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $680 +$847 +124%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $186 +$14 +7%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $709 +$378 +53%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $806 +$275 +34%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 05 $170 −$169 -99%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $130 +$47 +36%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 04 $2,754 +$475 +17%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 04 $1 $0 +13%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $2,336 +$24 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $2,406 −$2,401 -100%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 03 $922 +$78 +8%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 03 $587 +$413 +70%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 03 $3 −$3 -99%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 03 $23 −$23 -97%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 02 $2 −$1 -49%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $232 +$707 +304%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $51 −$50 -97%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $1,009 −$999 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $3,596 −$166 -5%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $1,209 +$24 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 31 $1,118 +$74 +7%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 31 $1,571 +$648 +41%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers May 30 $1,104 −$1,092 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina May 30 $2,825 +$175 +6%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 30 $1,942 +$58 +3%
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire May 30 $416 +$84 +20%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals May 30 $1,421 +$79 +6%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 30 $2,163 +$55 +2%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $3,089 +$191 +6%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 28 $981 +$16 +2%
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics May 27 $1,460 +$55 +4%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $3,973 +$427 +11%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians May 25 $256 −$250 -98%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 25 $2,316 +$346 +15%
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles May 25 $900 +$100 +11%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $2,556 −$2,077 -81%
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres May 25 $930 +$70 +8%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 24 $3,042 −$163 -5%
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis May 23 $3,179 −$886 -28%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees May 23 $930 +$70 +8%
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream May 23 $3,359 +$627 +19%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 22 $3,009 +$280 +9%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres May 21 $1,468 +$32 +2%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $3,476 +$448 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$6,183
world 3% +$658
politics 0% +$149
other 0% +$31
crypto 0% −$24
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $3 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $8 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $421 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $2 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $6 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $3 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $8 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $4 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $8 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $2 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $159 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $2 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $2 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 65¢ $657 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ $2 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 47¢ $72 19h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 47¢ $1 20h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 47¢ $8 20h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 47¢ $14 20h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 47¢ $1 20h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 96¢ $400 20h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 96¢ $300 20h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $102 20h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 87¢ $33 23h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 87¢ $100 23h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ $7 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 29¢ $27 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 29¢ $2 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 39¢ $4 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 39¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +13.9% +3.0% 70% 50% +13.8%
≤30d 72 +21.0% +9.5% 69% 29% -11.4%
≤90d 210 +0.8% -8.8% 69% 34% -14.3%
all 355 +2.8% -7.0% 79% 30% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 30% -10.9%
10% -15.9% 14% -19.4%
15% ← realistic here -24.0% 9% -27.2%
20% -31.5% 6% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $519.99 · official $519.99 (match) · 3500 history records