Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T03:09:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3F 0x3ff9…3fa5 crypto 1337 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (85 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,394 (-14%) realized −$2,394 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate51%681W / 656L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day85.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$492
7 days−$456
14 days−$2,475
30 days−$1,764
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,764
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (85 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 336 -1.4% -10.8% 64% 64% -18.0%
≤30d 1337 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 51% -19.1%
≤90d 1337 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 51% -19.1%
all 1337 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 51% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover85.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 51% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 51% -26.9%
15% -30.1% 44% -33.9%
20% -37.0% 34% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -26% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$13 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,394
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses681 / 656
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1337 / 1337
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day85.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1337 Trades
no open positions (68 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 26 $40 +$22 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 26 $17 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $14 +$10 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 26 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 26 $14 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 26 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $13 +$7 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 25 $9 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $25 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 25 $18 +$9 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 25 $13 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 25 $12 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 25 $46 −$45 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 25 $23 +$18 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $9 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $126 −$123 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $49 −$47 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $27 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $114 −$111 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$51 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 25 $67 +$27 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 25 $111 +$45 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $106 +$43 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 25 $65 −$63 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 25 $28 +$11 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $13 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$22 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $73 +$27 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $114 −$111 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $42 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 25 $23 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 24 $7 +$9 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 24 $8 +$6 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 24 $7 −$7 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $40 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $17 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $18 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $46 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $52 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $126 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $49 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $27 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $114 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $52 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $25 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records