trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 50% | 50% | -2.8% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +7.0% | -3.2% | 52% | 52% | -2.5% |
| ≤90d | 86 | -21.8% | -29.3% | 36% | 36% | -32.6% |
| all | 1239 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 51% | 50% | -13.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 50% | -13.9% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 48% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 45% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 37% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $41 | $39 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 21¢ | 17¢ | $21 | $17 | −$4 (-21%) |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $16 | +$6 (+56%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $17 | $14 | −$3 (-19%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $11 | $12 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will Brian Thomas Jr. be traded? | Yes | 30¢ | 9¢ | $13 | $4 | −$9 (-68%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $13 | −$7 | -56% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $8 | +$3 | +31% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car | Jun 15 | $7 | +$4 | +64% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $8 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $8 | +$12 | +162% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $11 | +$4 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $9 | +$15 | +175% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) | Jun 03 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims) | Jun 01 | $6 | +$5 | +86% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 01 | $9 | +$6 | +70% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $7 | +$4 | +57% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 27 | $3 | +$8 | +250% |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 24 | $6 | +$6 | +101% |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $6 | −$5 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $6 | +$10 | +158% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 18 | $7 | −$6 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 17 | $7 | +$4 | +50% |
| Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-16? | May 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 15 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-13? | May 14 | $7 | +$4 | +57% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $4 | +$7 | +152% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 13 | $6 | +$6 | +101% |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final? | May 04 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 04 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? | May 03 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30? | May 03 | $6 | +$12 | +226% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 01 | $6 | −$2 | -37% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 30 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 30 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 30 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 28 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, | Apr 27 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 27 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 27 | $6 | $0 | -3% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs? | Apr 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Arvell Reese be drafted 4th overall in the 2026 pro football draf | Apr 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 24 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 24 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 24 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |