Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:21:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

40
0x4093…5749
sports · 479 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$9,392 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,916 · open −$580
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,934
Realized+$9,916
Unrealized−$580
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses251 / 161
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$649
Open positions83
Markets (closed)412 / 479
History coverage10d
Avg bet$202
Trades / day302.0
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 83 History 412 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,094
7 days+$4,452
14 days+$9,916
30 days+$9,916
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $816 $1,205 +$389 (+48%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ 74¢ $756 $881 +$125 (+16%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? No 92¢ 100¢ $490 $534 +$45 (+9%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $458 $457 −$1 (-0%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 91¢ 96¢ $404 $425 +$21 (+5%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 74¢ 69¢ $363 $339 −$25 (-7%)
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Yes 90¢ 100¢ $280 $310 +$30 (+11%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 83¢ 81¢ $291 $286 −$5 (-2%)
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 99¢ 99¢ $202 $201 −$1 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 69¢ 94¢ $146 $200 +$54 (+37%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 21¢ 32¢ $113 $166 +$53 (+47%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $103 $138 +$35 (+34%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Yes 72¢ 96¢ $96 $129 +$33 (+34%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $124 $122 −$1 (-1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 77¢ 57¢ $152 $113 −$38 (-25%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 15¢ 22¢ $69 $105 +$36 (+52%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Akasha Urhobo 35¢ 31¢ $113 $100 −$13 (-11%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 23¢ 19¢ $107 $87 −$20 (-19%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 13? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $80 $81 +$0 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $76 $76 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $76 $76 +$1 (+1%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 93¢ 97¢ $59 $61 +$3 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $60 $61 +$1 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No 33¢ 26¢ $62 $49 −$13 (-21%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Viktorija Golubic 95¢ 100¢ $45 $47 +$2 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $462 +$64 +14%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $318 +$7 +2%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $152 +$36 +24%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $82 +$40 +49%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $336 −$195 -58%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $342 +$105 +31%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $84 −$45 -54%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $21 +$9 +42%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $95 −$92 -96%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $21 +$3 +13%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $225 −$111 -49%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $55 +$59 +107%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $53 +$71 +135%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $976 +$115 +12%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $26 −$10 -37%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $14 +$32 +228%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $312 +$98 +31%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $296 −$256 -86%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $153 −$153 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $832 +$420 +50%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $174 −$1 -1%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $15 +$5 +32%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $724 −$664 -92%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $95 +$6 +6%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $442 +$43 +10%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $55 +$4 +7%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $13 −$7 -56%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $398 +$146 +37%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $12 −$6 -52%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $13 +$5 +42%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $143 +$126 +88%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $52 −$52 -100%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $220 +$215 +98%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $504 +$374 +74%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $3 −$1 -46%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $14 −$6 -47%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $19 −$11 -57%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $632 +$202 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$3,454
crypto 27% +$5,930
politics 2% +$53
other 2% −$42
world 1% −$57
tech 0% −$2
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 65¢ $349 2m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ $39 3m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $376 3m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 74¢ $64 3m
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO BUY No 27¢ $4 5m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 82¢ $2 5m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 85¢ $8 6m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY No 27¢ $3 6m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 95¢ $30 7m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 30¢ $35 7m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY No 30¢ $2 7m
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 18? BUY Yes 96¢ $2 7m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY No 29¢ $3 8m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 64¢ $1 9m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 65¢ $3 12m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 91¢ $4 16m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 40¢ $32 17m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 52¢ $1 18m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 70¢ $4 18m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 96¢ $0 19m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 74¢ $302 24m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 49¢ $4 24m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Akasha Urhobo 35¢ $116 28m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 97¢ $3 29m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 45¢ $5 36m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 58¢ $1 37m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Darja Vidmanova 90¢ $2 37m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 50¢ $3 37m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 39¢ $2 39m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 46¢ $1 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 318 -0.0% -9.5% 61% 43% -2.7%
≤30d 412 +13.9% +3.0% 61% 44% +0.5%
≤90d 412 +13.9% +3.0% 61% 44% +0.5%
all 412 +13.9% +3.0% 61% 44% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover302.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.0% 44% +0.5%
10% ← realistic here -6.8% 32% -9.1%
15% -15.8% 22% -17.9%
20% -24.1% 16% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,934.08 · official $6,933.00 (match) · 3500 history records