Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:20:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

40
0x40ea…832f
sports · 153 markets active 11d ago
0.0score
+$412,707 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$412,707 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$412,707
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses66 / 87
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$35,397
Open positions0
Markets (closed)153 / 153
Avg bet$11,998
Trades / day133.6
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$241,670
30 days+$285,010
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) Jun 01 $100,107 +$199,584 +199%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $12,502 −$12,502 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $24,496 −$24,496 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $5,200 +$14,779 +284%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $6,698 +$19,775 +295%
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5) Jun 01 $22,363 +$24,821 +111%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $88,589 −$11,799 -13%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner May 31 $18,003 +$26,534 +147%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $10,000 +$14,974 +150%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 31 $10,000 −$10,000 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $86,521 +$151,617 +175%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 25 $10,000 −$10,000 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner May 25 $12,304 −$12,304 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $14,976 −$14,976 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 25 $14,519 +$25,553 +176%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 25 $5,466 +$9,019 +165%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner May 25 $3,578 −$3,578 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 25 $5,185 −$5,185 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner May 25 $20,008 −$20,008 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 25 $19,995 −$19,995 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 25 $19,997 −$19,997 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner May 25 $39,976 −$39,976 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 25 $15,234 −$15,234 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $16,379 −$16,379 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 25 $12,948 +$24,346 +188%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 25 $15,197 +$12,239 +80%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner May 24 $19,758 +$20,201 +102%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner May 24 $20,041 +$19,936 +100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner May 24 $10,788 −$10,788 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 24 $17,689 −$17,689 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner May 24 $19,212 −$19,212 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner May 23 $14,464 +$21,598 +149%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner May 23 $13,556 +$22,410 +165%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $7,686 −$7,686 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner May 23 $15,024 −$15,024 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $2,013 −$2,013 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $17,406 −$17,406 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $6,333 −$6,333 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner May 23 $4,992 +$7,677 +154%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner May 23 $10,135 −$10,135 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 23 $8,374 +$25,006 +299%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 23 $4,289 +$8,189 +191%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi May 22 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 22 $991 −$991 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 22 $1,355 −$1,355 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner May 22 $8,653 +$16,321 +189%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) May 22 $13,906 +$9,349 +67%
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 22 $35,117 +$44,754 +127%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 21 $20,658 −$20,658 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 21 $14,026 −$14,026 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$412,707
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $28,482 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $45,697 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $4,289 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $659 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $103 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $100 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $107 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $109 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $101 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $102 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $106 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $104 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $108 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $105 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $2 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $38,022 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $31,651 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $49,949 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $49,949 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $49,949 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $59,916 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $1 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $246 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $1 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $2 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $2 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $3 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $2 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $2 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) BUY Karmine Corp 33¢ $1 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 112 -0.7% -10.2% 41% 40% +8.5%
≤90d 153 +4.0% -5.9% 43% 42% +10.8%
all 153 +4.0% -5.9% 43% 42% +10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 42% +10.8%
10% -14.9% 42% +0.2%
15% ← realistic here -23.2% 41% -9.5%
20% -30.7% 37% -18.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records