trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 75% | 0% | -7.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 67% | 0% | -8.0% |
| all | 24 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 50% | 0% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.3% | 0% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -27.0% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -34.0% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -40.5% | 0% | -34.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 24 | $70 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $81 | +$4 | +5% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 26 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 23 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 22 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 20 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | May 19 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | May 18 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | May 05 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 09 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April? | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the San Francisco 49ers? | Apr 05 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Apr 05 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 04 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 02 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump post 160-179 times on Truth March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Department of Education be most efficient on March 31? | Mar 24 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 23 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -70% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Mar 21 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 16 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Ripple above $2.45 on March 14? | Mar 14 | $15 | $0 | +0% |