trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 54% | 46% | +5.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -15.2% | -23.3% | 50% | 43% | -20.1% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -15.2% | -23.3% | 50% | 43% | -20.1% |
| all | 25 | +18.1% | +6.9% | 48% | 40% | +1.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +6.9% | 40% | +1.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -3.4% | 40% | -8.6% |
| 15% | -12.7% | 28% | -17.5% |
| 20% | -21.3% | 20% | -25.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $4,998 | +$1,531 | +31% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $406 | −$400 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2,704 | +$615 | +23% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 6.5 Corners | Jun 15 | $250 | −$245 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1,008 | +$386 | +38% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $502 | −$19 | -4% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $274 | +$226 | +83% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $2,210 | +$164 | +7% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1,404 | +$352 | +25% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $216 | +$237 | +109% |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1,013 | −$254 | -25% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $4,875 | −$4,848 | -99% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $2,322 | −$575 | -25% |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Feb 24 | $2,752 | −$2,752 | -100% |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Feb 08 | $320 | −$320 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | Feb 05 | $200 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Jan 23 | $569 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? | Jan 14 | $1,748 | −$1,748 | -100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Dec 30 | $282 | +$150 | +53% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 19 | $30 | +$270 | +900% |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $15,435 | +$6,507 | +42% |
| Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $20,541 | +$11,512 | +56% |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $4,334 | −$2,733 | -63% |