Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

41
0x4144…fffe
crypto · 985 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$79 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses746 / 239
Open positions0
Markets (closed)985 / 985
History coverage9d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day122.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 985 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$95
14 days−$79
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $12 +$6 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$12 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$4 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$85
other 3% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 689 -2.5% -11.7% 76% 71% -12.2%
≤30d 985 -1.3% -10.7% 76% 72% -11.1%
≤90d 985 -1.3% -10.7% 76% 72% -11.1%
all 985 -1.3% -10.7% 76% 72% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover122.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 72% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 55% -19.6%
15% -27.0% 24% -27.4%
20% -34.2% 4% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1820 history records