Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

41
0x4166…4f83
sports · 553 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$788 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$788 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$788
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses180 / 373
Est. fees paid−$152
Open positions0
Markets (closed)553 / 553
History coverage20d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day158.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 553 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days−$250
14 days−$243
30 days−$788
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Marco Cecchinato 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Maxim Mrva 23¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jaqueline Cristian $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 58¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Gabriela Ruse 13¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Zhizhen Zhang 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Francisca Jorge 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF kiseljak: Andrej Nedic vs Yaroslav Demin Andrej Nedic 32¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $11 −$2 -19%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $46 −$27 -59%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF kiseljak: Andrej Nedic vs Yaroslav Demin Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF Los Angeles: Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore Dean Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 12 $5 −$2 -49%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $13 +$8 +61%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Corentin Denolly vs Patrik Meszaros Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $7 −$3 -38%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $20 +$28 +140%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $21 +$4 +21%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $5 −$1 -27%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $16 −$12 -77%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $38 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $37 −$22 -60%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $20 −$4 -18%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $10 −$3 -24%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 11 $9 +$3 +34%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 11 $15 −$1 -9%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $11 −$5 -48%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $11 $0 -1%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $11 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $11 +$8 +72%
ITF Guimaraes: Manon Leonard vs Ana Sofia Sanchez Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $12 −$4 -35%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $11 +$1 +13%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $6 −$4 -66%
ITF Decatur: Sophia Holod vs Sophie Llewellyn Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Vaasa: Markus Molder vs Matthias Uwe Kask Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $2 −$1 -59%
ITF Vaasa: Iiro Vasa vs Jonas Eriksson Ziverts Jun 11 $7 −$5 -72%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $14 +$12 +85%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Martha Matoula vs Anna Dvorackova Jun 10 $3 −$1 -24%
ITF Decatur: Ena Koike vs Ana Grubor Jun 10 $7 +$17 +258%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $7 +$5 +70%
ITF Messina: Jacopo Bilardo vs Giorgio Tabacco Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $5 −$2 -35%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $13 −$1 -7%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $5 +$3 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$790
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 58¢ $30 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Tatjana Maria 49¢ $15 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 50¢ $5 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 46¢ $5 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 48¢ $5 3h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 23¢ $2 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Tatjana Maria 50¢ $3 3h
ITF kiseljak: Andrej Nedic vs Yaroslav Demin BUY Andrej Nedic 17¢ $1 3h
ITF kiseljak: Andrej Nedic vs Yaroslav Demin BUY Andrej Nedic 46¢ $3 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 19¢ $1 3h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 30¢ $1 3h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Marco Cecchinato 38¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Jaqueline Cristian $2 3h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 35¢ $1 3h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato SELL Marco Cecchinato 38¢ $2 4h
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei BUY Francisca Jorge 39¢ $1 4h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Gabriela Ruse 13¢ $1 4h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Marco Cecchinato 19¢ $1 4h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt BUY Nick Hardt 28¢ $3 14h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza SELL Marjorie Souza 37¢ $3 15h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza BUY Marjorie Souza 37¢ $1 15h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza BUY Marjorie Souza 33¢ $1 15h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza BUY Marjorie Souza 33¢ $2 15h
ITF Los Angeles: Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore Dean BUY Theodore Dean 48¢ $3 15h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez SELL Thiago Cigarran 85¢ $48 16h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Thiago Cigarran 35¢ $20 17h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Julia Grabher 34¢ $1 18h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher SELL Lucia Bronzetti 69¢ $21 18h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 38¢ $12 19h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula SELL Martha Matoula 40¢ $12 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -27.9% -34.8% 27% 24% -21.3%
≤30d 553 -15.7% -23.7% 33% 31% -21.2%
≤90d 553 -15.7% -23.7% 33% 31% -21.2%
all 553 -15.7% -23.7% 33% 31% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.7% 31% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.0% 28% -28.8%
15% -37.7% 24% -35.6%
20% -43.8% 17% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records