trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 50% | 17% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 79% | 5% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 85% | 4% | -9.3% |
| all | 26 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 85% | 4% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 4% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -17.0% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $205 | $205 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $118 | $118 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96¢ | 94¢ | $27 | $26 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $14 | $14 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election? | Yes | 99¢ | 97¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83¢ | 80¢ | $14 | $13 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-37%) |
| Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | Jun 18 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Exact Score: Austria 3 - 2 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | Jun 17 | $6 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | Jun 16 | $202 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean loca | Jun 04 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Solana reach $160 in May? | Jun 01 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May? | Jun 01 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May? | Jun 01 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May? | May 30 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap | May 30 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 28? | May 28 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 22? | May 22 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $12 | $0 | +0% |