trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 33% | 0% | -34.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -26.8% | -33.7% | 33% | 0% | -41.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -20.4% | -27.9% | 38% | 12% | -16.5% |
| all | 18 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 50% | 33% | -13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.4% | 33% | -13.6% |
| 10% | -24.4% | 22% | -21.9% |
| 15% | -31.7% | 11% | -29.4% |
| 20% | -38.4% | 0% | -36.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 77¢ | 84¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $51 | −$32 | -63% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $2,106 | +$132 | +6% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $1,651 | −$1,651 | -100% |
| Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $603 | −$22 | -4% |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? | Apr 18 | $500 | −$115 | -23% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Apr 04 | $4,595 | +$945 | +21% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | Mar 02 | $225 | +$9 | +4% |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 01 | $235 | −$10 | -4% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Feb 28 | $505 | +$231 | +46% |
| UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) | Nov 16 | $117 | +$41 | +35% |
| Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen | Oct 06 | $94 | +$23 | +25% |
| Ankalaev vs. Pereira | Oct 03 | $98 | −$4 | -4% |
| Pereira vs. Ankalaev | Mar 10 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Du Plessis vs. Strickland | Feb 09 | $50 | +$25 | +49% |
| Makhachev vs. Tsarukyan | Jan 19 | $148 | −$54 | -36% |
| Makhachev vs. Moicano | Jan 19 | $90 | +$11 | +12% |