Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

42
0x4228…34cb
crypto · 774 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,326 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,301 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,559
Realized−$2,301
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses571 / 574
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1145 / 774
History coverage2d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day1423.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,301
7 days−$2,301
14 days−$2,301
30 days−$2,301
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $281 $497 +$216 (+77%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $136 $269 +$133 (+98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $141 $259 +$118 (+83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 19¢ 100¢ $13 $68 +$55 (+428%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $37 $66 +$29 (+79%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $26 $53 +$27 (+102%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 60¢ 36¢ $64 $39 −$25 (-39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $31 $37 +$7 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $20 $34 +$13 (+67%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $15 $30 +$15 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $15 $26 +$10 (+67%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+87%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+60%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+109%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$5 (+117%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+133%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+88%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+98%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+101%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $281 +$252 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $136 +$132 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $141 +$133 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$31 +241%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$29 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$32 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$8 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$13 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$16 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$42 +276%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +94%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +117%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +688%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -273%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +1119%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -534%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$14 +2339%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +1186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$30 +5004%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$17 +2580%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$13 +2145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$17 +3698%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$43 +10449%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +178%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +902%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$15 +2436%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +286%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$24 +5104%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +156%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,849
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $66 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $63 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $4 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $4 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $4 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $4 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $27 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+91.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1145 +112.1% +91.9% 50% 45% -13.7%
≤30d 1145 +112.1% +91.9% 50% 45% -13.7%
≤90d 1145 +112.1% +91.9% 50% 45% -13.7%
all 1145 +112.1% +91.9% 50% 45% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1423.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +91.9% 45% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here +73.5% 41% -22.0%
15% +56.7% 35% -29.5%
20% +41.4% 30% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,558.76 · official $1,433.73 · 3500 history records